MacroMashup

MacroMashup

Pentagon Inc.: Owning the Pipes of Power

A new era of industrial policy and why it makes sense

Neil Winward's avatar
Neil Winward
Jan 09, 2026
∙ Paid

The United States has quietly abandoned laissez-faire industrial policy. Through direct equity stakes, debt guarantees, and offtake control, the Pentagon is now operating a de facto venture capital portfolio spanning metals, energy, and critical supply chains. This MacroMashup deep dive examines the $7.4B Tennessee smelter project as the centerpiece of a broader $20B+ sovereign metals strategy — and explains why ownership of midstream infrastructure, not mines or markets, defines power in the next industrial age.

Welcome to MacroMashup — where geopolitics, capital flows, and real-world power intersect.

If you’re here, you already know the headlines miss the signal. Our goal is to map what matters before it becomes consensus.

What Happened Since the Last Edition

Before we dive into industrial policy, the macro landscape shifted — violently.

Venezuela’s regime collapse didn’t happen in a vacuum. Iran’s unrest didn’t fade organically. Gold didn’t hit $4,500 and silver didn’t test $80 by accident. And defense and AI infrastructure equities didn’t shrug off rate fears because markets suddenly got complacent.

These are not disconnected events.

They are symptoms of a deeper transition: resource control is back at the center of geopolitics — and it’s happening quietly.

This week’s MacroMashup connects those dots.

Economic data this week (ADP Employment Report for December) delivered a clean snapshot of a cooling but still expanding U.S. economy.

Where This Piece Goes Next

This article explores:

  • Why the Pentagon is now running a venture-style capital portfolio

  • How the $7.4B Tennessee smelter rewrites U.S. industrial doctrine

  • Why smelting and refining — not mining — are the real choke points

  • How equity ownership replaces sanctions and stockpiles

  • Why this marks the end of naïve globalism in materials markets

  • What this means for commodities, defense, and AI infrastructure investors

If you want the full framework — including deal mechanics, capital stacks, and macro implications — this is where the real work begins.

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